Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.000209 0.000231 0.000256 0.000284 0.000315 0.000349 0.000389
2025-09-28 0.000161 0.000193 0.000229 0.000275 0.000332 0.000399 0.000486
2025-10-05 0.000139 0.000175 0.000221 0.000281 0.000361 0.000463 0.000606
2025-10-12 0.000123 0.000163 0.000214 0.000286 0.000387 0.000524 0.000728
2025-10-19 0.000109 0.000149 0.000204 0.000284 0.000401 0.000569 0.000833
2025-10-26 0.000100 0.000140 0.000198 0.000286 0.000421 0.000623 0.000958
2025-11-02 0.000090 0.000130 0.000189 0.000283 0.000431 0.000662 0.001063
2025-11-09 0.000083 0.000123 0.000183 0.000282 0.000444 0.000707 0.001184
2025-11-16 0.000076 0.000115 0.000175 0.000277 0.000450 0.000741 0.001288
2025-11-23 0.000069 0.000107 0.000166 0.000270 0.000450 0.000764 0.001378
2025-11-30 0.000065 0.000103 0.000165 0.000274 0.000471 0.000825 0.001545
2025-12-07 0.000062 0.000101 0.000164 0.000280 0.000494 0.000893 0.001736
2025-12-14 0.000057 0.000095 0.000157 0.000274 0.000498 0.000927 0.001870
2025-12-21 0.000052 0.000087 0.000148 0.000264 0.000493 0.000944 0.001973
2025-12-28 0.000050 0.000085 0.000147 0.000270 0.000517 0.001025 0.002231
2026-01-04 0.000048 0.000083 0.000146 0.000275 0.000541 0.001107 0.002507
2026-01-11 0.000045 0.000079 0.000142 0.000272 0.000551 0.001159 0.002721
2026-01-18 0.000043 0.000077 0.000140 0.000275 0.000570 0.001236 0.003013
2026-01-25 0.000040 0.000073 0.000136 0.000271 0.000576 0.001283 0.003235
2026-02-01 0.000038 0.000070 0.000133 0.000271 0.000588 0.001345 0.003512
2026-02-08 0.000036 0.000067 0.000128 0.000266 0.000590 0.001384 0.003734
2026-02-15 0.000033 0.000063 0.000123 0.000259 0.000586 0.001407 0.003910
2026-02-22 0.000032 0.000062 0.000123 0.000263 0.000609 0.001504 0.004334